There will be no Programmers in 5 years

AI will take your job and you’re not ready.

Przemek Chojecki

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This is a prediction by Emad Mostaque, Stability AI CEO, and moreover he claims that already 41% of code on Github is AI-generated.

Though that seems very high, AI code has already a strong presence and I’m using myself various LLMs to boost my coding skills.

There will be no Programmers in 5 years

But he might be right: the job of a programmer will never be the same. Github Copilot is already a standard tool, and just this month Google announced its own version called Duet AI. Jet Brains also came with its own AI-powered IDE.

The bold prediction by Emad Mostaque, CEO of Stability AI, that there will be no human programmers in five years has sparked considerable debate and discussion in the tech community. This provocative statement is based on the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), particularly in the field of generative AI systems like ChatGPT.

Mostaque’s argument hinges on the transformative potential of AI in the programming domain. He cites data from GitHub indicating that a significant portion of the code (41%) on the platform is AI-generated, underscoring the growing influence of AI in coding​​​​. This claim points to a future where AI could potentially automate many programming tasks, potentially reshaping the role of human programmers.

Stability AI, the company led by Mostaque, is actively engaged in various AI projects, ranging from language models to image generation and DNA analysis. These efforts aim to build a comprehensive AI infrastructure that could revolutionize how we interact with technology. Mostaque envisions AI as a tool that augments human capabilities rather than replacing them, suggesting a future where AI and humans work in tandem to achieve more significant outcomes​​.

However, this viewpoint is not universally accepted. Other perspectives in the tech community argue that while AI tools like GitHub Copilot, Google’s Duet AI, and AI-powered IDEs from JetBrains are becoming more prevalent, they are not likely to completely replace human programmers. Human programmers possess skills in problem-solving, creativity, critical thinking, and domain expertise that are currently beyond the reach of AI tools. Therefore, rather than replacing programmers, AI is more likely to assist them, enhancing code quality and easing their workload​​​​.

In summary, while AI is undoubtedly transforming the field of programming, the idea of it completely replacing human programmers in the near future remains a topic of debate. The more likely scenario, as suggested by both industry experts and AI systems themselves, is a hybrid future where AI tools support and enhance human programming efforts, rather than outright replacing them.

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Przemek Chojecki

AI & crypto, PhD in mathematics, Forbes 30 under 30, former Oxford fellow.